Technical Versus Fundamental
By
Jeremy Wagner, Lead Trading Instructor
There is a great debate about which type of analysis
is better for a trader. Is it better to be a fundamental trader or a
technical trader? Over the next couple of minutes, we will explore what
the difference is between these two types of traders and which pieces of
information they tend to look at.
Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis involves assessing the economic
well being of an entity, not taking into account its price movements.
For traders in the stock market, they would take a look at the company’s
earnings, expenses, assets, and liabilities. Fundamental traders will
use those data points to determine the health of the company. If their
economic well being is trending better as their company’s earnings and
balance sheet is growing, then fundamental traders may buy the firm’s
stock in anticipation of demand growing for that firm’s stock.
We have similar data points in foreign exchange,
except for the whole economy rather than a specific company. A
fundamental forex trader will analyze the country’s inflation, trade
balance, gross domestic product, growth in jobs and even their central bank’s
benchmark interest rate. By assessing the relative trend of these data
points, a trader is analyzing the relative health of the country’s
economy and whether to trade the future movement of their currency.
Technical Analysis
Technical analysis involves pattern recognition on a
price chart. For equity traders, they will analyze the price of volume
of the shares traded on the exchange. If prices are moving higher on
increasing volume, traders will see the demand for shares of that
company’s stock and buy.
Traders may also look for price patterns on the
chart like triangles, flags, and double bottoms. Based on the pattern, a
trader will determine the entry and exit points for the stock. A
technical trader is not as concerned about why something is moving
because the trends and patterns on the charts are their signals.
Forex has many of the same technical tools that are
used in stock trading. A technical forex trader will assess the price
action, trend, support and resistance levels. Many of the patterns used in equities trading are also traded in foreign exchange including those noted above.
Additionally, the indicators and oscillators added
to a price chart are very similar between the stock and foreign exchange
markets. Moving averages, Bollinger Bands, MACD, Relative Strength Index (RSI), and stochastic
tends to be some of the more common tools in a technical traders tool
box. This is a result of the indicators ease of use and clarity of
signal it provides.
Technical analysis does not include ‘black magic’
that many fundamentalists claim. Getting started in technical analysis
can be done quickly by assessing the direction and strength of trends.
After speaking to thousands of people in our webinars, seminars and
twitter, my observation is that trend technical analysis
is integrated into most facets of trading. Traders will use the trend
analysis to help them determine which pair to trade and the direction to
trade it.
In conclusion, there are two common types of
analysis (fundamental and technical). Most traders use a combination of
both when making their trading decisions of which currency to trade,
when to enter, and when to exit.
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